Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.525620 0.608832 0.700174 0.807777 0.930963 1.067480 1.230141
2025-05-25 0.378532 0.488902 0.622806 0.796730 1.016151 1.283232 1.632422
2025-06-01 0.299074 0.418021 0.573130 0.789180 1.081171 1.460792 1.990316
2025-06-08 0.239962 0.358217 0.521938 0.763507 1.108918 1.582714 2.279123
2025-06-15 0.217576 0.343405 0.526631 0.810365 1.235593 1.845381 2.781268
2025-06-22 0.181961 0.302637 0.486870 0.785319 1.252544 1.950635 3.065505
2025-06-29 0.154169 0.269160 0.452550 0.762205 1.266718 2.049244 3.344888
2025-07-06 0.132611 0.242274 0.424438 0.744099 1.284509 2.152097 3.636987
2025-07-13 0.120863 0.230147 0.418533 0.760852 1.359187 2.350002 4.096947
2025-07-20 0.114326 0.226180 0.425682 0.799997 1.474503 2.623437 4.704606
2025-07-27 0.106436 0.218514 0.425117 0.824902 1.566705 2.864891 5.277842
2025-08-03 0.097295 0.207128 0.416215 0.833153 1.629084 3.058922 5.783574
2025-08-10 0.087427 0.193225 0.401424 0.829607 1.671138 3.223810 6.258495
2025-08-17 0.077837 0.178591 0.383529 0.818134 1.697255 3.362619 6.699859
2025-08-24 0.069867 0.166209 0.368518 0.810385 1.729211 3.514187 7.177252
2025-08-31 0.061239 0.151082 0.345874 0.784056 1.720657 3.586312 7.506411
2025-09-07 0.059801 0.152144 0.357821 0.832109 1.869555 3.979826 8.502124
2025-09-14 0.052781 0.139018 0.337003 0.806425 1.860067 4.053930 8.859582
2025-09-21 0.046757 0.127404 0.318118 0.782721 1.852033 4.129505 9.225236
2025-09-28 0.041774 0.117651 0.302318 0.764152 1.853154 4.223705 9.636952
2025-10-05 0.039450 0.114453 0.301762 0.781333 1.936863 4.501548 10.465169
2025-10-12 0.038561 0.114971 0.310358 0.821477 2.077561 4.915169 11.623028
2025-10-19 0.036919 0.113181 0.312939 0.847016 2.186020 5.265531 12.667307